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Will “Santa” interest rate cuts hide enough support for the economy?

4 Min Read

The British Central Bank cuts interest rates in a move that may support a shaky economy

The future image of the economy may materialize in the simple actions of a bank governor; what is to be understood from the appearance of Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, in festive attire adorned with Christmas tree patterns while announcing the rate cut “like Santa Claus”?

The matter might not carry clear connotations. However, it is likely a signal that this signed move, accompanied by its announcement, was made to support a “sluggish” economy looking for a boost.

These rate-cut decisions were close, as the Bank Governor, Andrew Bailey, made his decision to cut after announcing Britain’s progress “as soon as inflation reached its fragility,” with inflation expected to fall to the Bank’s 2% target next April instead of early 2027.

His Excellency Mr. Bailey explained that the interest rate market will see continuous cuts next year, but the decisions will become more difficult.

“We will reach the target ahead of schedule. This is an encouraging indicator; all of this bolsters my confidence, and of course for me, I know there was a strong basis for cutting interest rates today,” the Governor said.

“To take into account, I think we will continue to move at a pace of gradual interest rate cuts… and the further we go, the more difficult the decision becomes.”

Monetary Policy Committee meetings witnessed discussions about what could be considered a natural interest rate, as some members saw that this rate could reach 3%. Markets interpret the meetings as pointing toward two more interest rate cuts next year.

However, much remains undetermined, including the Committee’s acknowledgment of a “reactive economy,” according to current predictions indicating no growth in the current quarter.

Doubts about the general budget remain, but companies confirmed to the Bank that they have not yet seen an improvement. Opposition leader Kemi Badenoch stated that the rate cut reflects that the economy is on “the edge of a cliff” and that the cut is considered a “vital rescue.”

The Bank Governor indicated that budget measures aimed at curbing inflation helped in the decision to cut interest rates.

“This is part of the reason that gives me confidence that inflation will fall soon,” the Governor said.

The Governor also warned that an unusually high savings rate constitutes an obstacle to the economy due to a lack of confidence among consumers in older age groups, as cutting interest rates reduces the incentive to save and aids spending.

The Governor pointed out that he did not intend to be interpreted as a “critic” of the amount of savings people suggest, but explained that this is true, as the level of confidence and caution people feel toward the local and global economy affects savings rates.

Monetary policy, greater stability, lower inflation, and lower interest rates will help the economy find its new momentum in the coming year. It certainly needs it.

However, much may be required to bolster the confidence and festive spirit necessary for it to spread throughout all parts of the economy.

United News Network – UNN Arabic

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